 | 'I know the Secretary of State very very well - because he's my father.' Beattie Media employee, Kevin Reid. |  |
| 'I know the Secretary of State very very well - because he's my father.' Beattie Media employee, Kevin Reid. | |
Compared with May, the SNP are up 7 points in the constituency poll and 6 in the list, while Labour are down 4 and 3 points respectively.
In the Scottish Parliament, Labour's majority over the SNP would be slashed from 23 seats to a mere 3. The SNP would win 12 constituencies from Labour ranging from marginals like Cumbernauld & Kilsyth, Kilmarnock & Loudoun and Dundee West to hitherto safe seats such as Livingston, Cunningham North and Renfrewshire West. They would also take Tweedale Ettrick & Lauderdale from the Lib-Dems and recapture Galloway & Upper Nithsdale from the Tories.
The SNP would however lose 4 on the list particularly in those areas where they made substantial constituency gains. There would be other gains and loses on the list.
The Lib-Dems are up 4 % and would gain 5 seats. The Tory vote drops to 9 % and they would lose seats in every region to end up with only 8 MSPs.
The SSP and Greens continue to pick up support. The former would make another four gains, including a third in Glasgow, and the latter another 2 to give them repesentation in every region. Assuming the independents retained their seats, there would be 23 'others'. The Labour/Lib-Dem coalition would only have 61 MSPs out of 129 and could no longer command a majority in the Parliament.
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