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'Miss Goldie speaks with the ease of a Jean Brodie, though possibly with a less fascist intent.' Ian Bell in the Herald, 9 th December 2005. |
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'Miss Goldie speaks with the ease of a Jean Brodie, though possibly with a less fascist intent.' Ian Bell in the Herald, 9 th December 2005. |
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The table below lists the Conservative's target constituencies in order of winnability based on the general election result of May 2003. The ranking in 2003 is marked in brackets.
| Rank | Constituency | 1 st place | Swing required % | Tory place |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (3) | Perth |  |
1.15 | 2 nd |
| 2 (7) | Dumfries |  |
1.71 | 2 nd |
| 3 (16) | Tweedale, Ettrick & Lauderdale |  |
2.83 | 4 th |
| 4 (2) | Eastwood | |
4.76 | 2 nd |
| 5 (10) | Stirling | |
4.86 | 2 nd |
| 6 (15) | Renfrewshire West | |
4.96 | 3 rd |
| Rank | Constituency | 1 st place | Swing required % | Tory place |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 (12) | Roxburgh & Berwickshire | |
5.53 | 2 nd |
| 8 (9) | Tayside North | |
6.78 | 2 nd |
| 9 (17) | Gordon | |
7.07 | 2 nd |
| 10 (18) | Argyll & Bute | |
7.51 | 4 th |
| 11 (21) | Edinburgh Central | |
7.61 | 4 th |
| 12 (4) | Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine | |
8.54 | 2 nd |
| 13 (14) | Fife North East | |
8.63 | 2 nd |
| 14 (20) | Edinburgh South | |
7.74 | 3 rd |
| 15 (8) | Edinburgh West | |
8.88 | 2 nd |
| 16 (22) | Cunninghame North | |
9.78 | 3 rd |
| 17 (13) | Moray | |
9.85 | 2 nd |
| 18 (39) | Strathkelvin & Bearsden |  |
9.89 | 3 rd |
| Rank | Constituency | 1 st place | Swing required % | Tory place |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 (24) | Aberdeen Central | |
10.06 | 4 th |
| 20 (35) | Edinburgh North & Leith | |
10.71 | 3 rd |
| 21 (30) | Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley | |
10.85 | 3 rd |
| 22 (72) | Orkney | |
10.97 | 2 nd |
| 23 (25) | Angus | |
11.23 | 2 nd |
| 24 (27) | Aberdeen North | |
12.13 | 4 th |
| 25 (34) | Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross | |
12.97 | 4 th |
| 26 (19) | Inverness East, Nairn & Lochaber | |
13.11 | 3 rd |
| 27 (47) | Glasgow Cathcart | |
13.12 | 3 rd |
| 28 (43) | East Lothian | |
13.18 | 3 rd |
| 29 (41) | Dunfermline West | |
13.47 | 5 th |
| 30 (26) | Dundee West | |
13.72 | 6 th |
| 31 (48) | Glasgow Kelvin | |
13.74 | 5 th |
| 32 (31) | Dundee East | |
13.84 | 3 rd |
| 33 (28) | Dumbarton | |
13.84 | 4 th |
| 34 (40) | Glasgow Govan | |
14.09 | 3 rd |
| 35 (11) | Aberdeen South | |
14.26 | 3 rd |
| 36 (32) | Ochil | |
14.33 | 3 rd |
| 37 (38) | Clydebank & Milngavie | |
14.52 | 4 th |
| 38 (33) | Kilmarnock & Loudoun | |
14.82 | 3 rd |
| 39 (29) | Clydesdale | |
14.84 | 3 rd |
| 40 (50) | East Kilbride | |
14.93 | 3 rd |
| Rank | Constituency | 1 st place | Swing required % | Tory place |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 (23) | Ross, Skye & Inverness West | |
15.06 | 4 th |
| 42 (36) | Edinburgh East & Musselburgh | |
15.14 | 3 rd |
| 43 (46) | Linlithgow | |
15.35 | 3 rd |
| 44 (65) | Shetland | |
15.66 | 3 rd |
| 45 (68) | Glasgow Anniesland | |
15.69 | 3 rd |
| 46 (45) | Banff & Buchan | |
16.00 | 2 nd |
| 47 (49) | Paisley South | |
16.85 | 4 th |
| 48 (60) | Hamilton South | |
16.93 | 3 rd |
| 49 (44) | Greenock & Inverclyde | |
17.04 | 5 th |
| 50 (46) | Livingston | |
17.15 | 3 rd |
| 51 (71) | Fife Central | |
17.17 | 4 th |
| 52 (52) | Glasgow Rutherglen | |
17.61 | 4 th |
| 53 (51) | Kirkcaldy | |
18.01 | 4 th |
| 54 (56) | Midlothian | |
18.22 | 4 th |
| 55 (63) | Cumbernauld & Kilsyth | |
18.79 | 5 th |
| 56 (53) | Glasgow Pollok | |
19.37 | 4 th |
| 57 (59) | Cunninghame South | |
19.39 | 4 th |
| 58 (57) | Paisley North | |
19.72 | 3 rd |
| 59 (66) | Dunfermline East | |
19.58 | 3 rd |
| Rank | Constituency | 1 st place | Swing required % | Tory place |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 (42) | Falkirk East | |
20.89 | 3 rd |
| 61 (61) | Western Isles | |
21.03 | 3 rd |
| 62 (54) | Hamilton North & Bellshill | |
21.05 | 3 rd |
| 63 (37) | Motherwell & Wishaw | |
22.06 | 3 rd |
| 64 (62) | Glasgow Maryhill | |
22.23 | 5 th |
| 65 (58) | Glasgow Baillieston | |
22.40 | 4 th |
| 66 (70) | Coatbridge & Chryston | |
23.85 | 3 rd |
| 67 (64) | Airdrie & Shotts | |
23.94 | 3 rd |
| 68 (69) | Falkirk West |  |
24.71 | 4 th |
| Rank | Constituency | 1 st place | Swing required % | Tory place |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69 (67) | Glasgow Shettleston | |
25.34 | 4 th |
| 70 (73) | Glasgow Springburn | |
26.20 | 4 th |
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