Candidates and Constituency Assessments


saltire shield'In an ill-fated attempt to describe his opponent's stance, the first minister said, mysteriously: 'I can't use the word that at Westminster would be unparliamentary - but it begins with an 'h' and ends with a 'y'.' What could the word be that dare not speak its name - heresy, harlotry, hospitality? A ripple went round the ranks of MSPs, made flesh for the Nats by Margaret Ewing as she shouted out a devastating answer: 'Henry!' Cue collapse of parliamentarians.'
Frances Horsburgh in the Herald, 16 th February 2001.
Lion Rampant

Moray (Highlands & Islands Region)

Candidates

who Lee Butcher
(Not standing on Highlands & Islands list)
labour logo
Labour
Lee Butcher is Scottish Labour Club contact for Aberdeen

Recent electoral experience
Richard Lochhead MSP Richard Lochhead MSP
(Not standing on Highlands & Islands list)
SNP logo
Scottish National Party
Richard Lochhead MSP was born on the 24 th of May 1969 and educated at Williamson High School in Glasgow, the Glasgow Central School of Commerce, and Stirling University where he graduated with a BA(Hons) in Political Studies in 1994. He worked as a Clerical trainer for the SSEB between 1987 and 1989. Between 1994 and 1998, Richard Lochhead was the Office Manager for Alex Salmond MP and from 1998 until 1999 he worked as a Development Officer on Dunde City Council. In 1999 he was fourth on the SNP's North-east Scotland list and was elected as the region's fourth MSP. In 2003, he was first on the SNP's North-east Scotland regional list and was elected as the region's fifth MSP.
Richard Lochhead was Shadow Deputy Minister for Fisheries & the Water Industry from May 1999 until April 2003, Shadow Deputy Minister for Environment & Rural Affairs from May 2003 until September 2004 and since then has been Shadow Minister for Environment, Rural Affairs, Energy & Fisheries. He is a member of a large number of Cross-Party Groups, including Oil and Gas, Affordable Housing, and Cycling.
Richard Lochhead resigned his North-East Scotland list seat on the 7 th April 2006 and was elected as MSP for Moray on the 27 th April, increasing the SNP vote by 4 %. This was the first time that the party holding a seat had increased their vote in a by-election since Labour held Berwickshire & East Lothian in 1978.
Richard Lochheard lives in Moray with his wife Fiona and son Angus, in his spare time he enjoys reading, cinema, football and cycling.

Shadow Ministerial Posts:
September 2004 - Shadow Minister for Environment, Rural Affairs, Energy & Fisheries
May 2003 - September 2004 Shadow Deputy Minister for Environment & Rural Afairs
May 1999 - April 2003 Shadow Deputy Minister for Fisheries & Water Industry

Recent electoral experience
2006 Scottish Parliament by-election, Moray, 12,653 votes (46.15 %) (elected)
2003 Scottish Parliament election, Aberdeen Central, 5,593 votes (26.68 %)
2003 Scottish Parliament election, First on North-east Scotland list, 66,463 votes for list (27.28 %) (elected)
1999 Scottish Parliament election, Aberdeen Central, 7,609 votes (28.72 %)
1999 Scottish Parliament election, Fourth on North-east Scotland list, 92,329 votes (32.35 %) (elected)
1997 Westminster election, Gordon, 8,435 votes (19.97 %)
Dominique Rommel Dominique Rommel
(Also number 3 on Highlands & Islands list)
liberal logo
Liberal Democrat
Dominique Rommel has been chosen as candidate for Moray in place of the disgraced veteran candidate, Cllr Linda Gorn whose campaign team in the 2006 by-election was accused of behaving like 'snake-oil salesmen' when they attempted to mislead the voters by making selective quotes from the Northern Scot newspaper. The paper's editor, Pauline Taylor said: 'I have never known anything like it. It is just appalling that they are doing this.' The newspaper made a complaint to the Electoral Commission. On the 12 th April 2006 the Liberals published a poll suggesting they would come second with 32.0 % of the vote in Moray, but when the votes were counted they were in third place behind the Tories with just 19.37 %.
Dominique Rommel is 48 years old, single, and has lived in Scalloway in the Shetland Islands since 1993. She works as the managing director of consultancy Pharos Atlantic Ltd. Ms Rommel is a qualified workboat skipper and commercial yachtmaster and is a member of Shetland Health Board, Shetland Development Trust, Shetland Transport Partnership and Scalloway Community Council. Before she came to Shetland she was a court lawyer and then a banker in Brussels.
Recent electoral experience
Mary Scanlon Mary Scanlon
(Also number 1 on Highlands & Islands list)
Con logo
Conservative & Unionist
Ms Scanlon, who is now known in Moray by her full name, "Mary Scanlon is a Tory!", was born in Dundee on the 25 th May 1947 and educated at Craigo Secondary School in Montrose and Dundee University where she graduated with an MA in Economics and Politics and a Diploma in Personnel Management. She worked as a Civil servant and for British Telecom before becoming a Lecturer in Economics and Management at Perth College from 1983 - 1988, and later at Dundee Institute of Technology from 1988 - 1994 become lecturing in Economics/Business administration at Inverness College of the University of the Highlands & Islands. In 1999 and 2003 she was second on the Tory Highlands & Islands list. In 1999 she was elected as the region's fifth MSP and in 2003 as the region's fourth MSP.
Scanlon is divorced and is a member of the Institute of Personnel Development. In the Scottish Parliament, she voted in favour of the invasion of Iraq.
Mary Scanlon was Tory Spokesperson on Communities and was Convenor of the Cross-Party Groups on Fertility Services, Funerals & Bereavement. She resigned her Highlands & list seat on 7 th April 2006, hoping to win Moray. Scanlon claimed to be Margaret Ewing's natural heir but her by-election leaflets failed to mention that she was a member of the Tory party. Her by-election team was reported to Grampian Police for falsifying two supposedly handwritten letters of support from local independent councillors. Scalon failed to win Moray and only managed to increase the Tory vote by 0.36 %. However, she had the satisfaction of staying ahead of the Liberals, who had published polling figures which suggested they could win the seat, but were caught out attempting to mislead the public.

Recent electoral experience.
2006 Scottish Parliament by-election, Moray, 6,268 votes (22.86 %)
2003 Scottish Parliament election, Inverness East, Nairn & Lochaber, 6,205 votes (17.83 %)
2003 Scottish Parliament election, Second on Highlands & Islands list, 26,989 votes for list (16.01 %) (elected)
1999 Scottish Parliament election, Inverness East, Nairn & Lochaber, 6,107 votes (14.60 %)
1999 Scottish Parliament election, Second on Highlands & Islands list, 30,122 votes for list (14.94 %) (elected)
1997 Westminster election, Inverness East, Nairn & Lochaber, 8,355 votes (17.49 %)
1992 Westminster election, North East Fife, 16,122 votes (38.53 %)

Assessment:

This assessment is based on the 2003 election results

Rank on Conservative hit list: 17 (13 in 2003)
Swing required for Conservative gain: 9.89 % from Scottish National Party to Conservative

Rank on Labour hit list: 13 (4 in 2003)
Swing required for Labour gain: 11.54 % from Scottish National Party to Labour

Rank on Liberal Democrat hit list: 23 (16 in 2003)
Swing required for Liberal Democrat gain: 15.01 % from Scottish National Party to Liberal Democrat

Correlation to the new Westminster constituencies

The electorate of 57,948 was split between the new Westminster constituencies of:
Moray: 57,948 (100.00 %)

Local Government wards in the constituency

Council Ward number Ward name Electorate (June 2001)
Moray 1Elgin - Bishopmill West2,520
2Elgin - Bishopmill East2,595
3Elgin - Cathedral2,261
4Elgin - Central West2,631
5New Elgin West2,574
6New Elgin East2,512
7Forres East2,490
8Forres Central2,674
9Finderne2,449
10Forres West and Altyre2,209
11Burghsea2,649
12Heldon and Laich2,225
13Lossiemouth East2,393
14Lossiemouth West2,557
15Lhanbryde and Birnie2,299
16Innes2,571
17Lennox2,305
18Buckie West2,516
19Buckie Central2,446
20Buckie East and Findochty2,512
21Rathford 12,479
24Rural Keith and Rothes 12,281
25Speyside2,517
26Glenlivet2,373

1 Mostly Moray, some Gordon

Previous results

27 th April 2006 Holyrood By-Election - Constituency result

Electorate 60,285. Turnout 27,420, 45.70 % (- 0.63 %)
LogoPartyCandidateVotes%% change
SNP logo Scottish National Party Richard Lochhead MSP 1 12,653 46.15 % + 3.96 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Mary Scanlon MSP 1 6,268 22.86 % + 0.36 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Cllr Linda Gorn 5,310 19.37 % + 7.20 %
Labour logo Labour Cllr Alexander Keith 2,696 9.83 % - 9.28 %
NHSFirst Party NHSFirst Party Mev Brown 493 1.80 % (+ 1.80 %)
SNP logo Scottish National Party hold Scottish National Party majority 6,385 23.29 % + 3.60 %

1 Richard Lochead and Mary Scanlon resigned as MSPs for North East Scotland and for the Highlands & Islands respectively on the 7 th April 2006 in order to contest the Moray by-election.

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Constituency result

Electorate 58,242. Turnout 26,981, 46.33 % (- 11.18 %)
LogoPartyCandidateVotes%% change
SNP logo Scottish National Party Margaret Ewing MSP 11,384 42.19 % + 3.39 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Tim Wood 6,072 22.50 % - 3.10 %
Labour logo Labour Peter Peacock MSP 5,157 19.11 % - 7.39 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Cllr Linda Gorn 3,283 12.17 % + 3.07 %
SSP logo Scottish Socialist Party Norma Anderson 1,085 4.02 % (+ 4.02 %)
Scottish National Party hold Scottish National Party majority 5,312 19.69 % + 7.39 %

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

Electorate 58,242. Turnout 27,198, 46.70 %
248 rejected ballot papers
LogoPartyVotes%% change
SNP logo Scottish National Party 8,333 30.92 % + 0.76 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Party 5,732 21.27 % - 1.02 %
Labour logo Labour 5,517 20.47 % - 6.20 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrats 3,067 11.38 % - 0.31 %
Scot Green logo Scottish Green Party 1,759 6.53 % + 2.92 %
Scot Soc logo Scottish Socialist Party 804 2.98 % + 2.54 %
Protect Rural Scotland Party Protect Rural Scotland 417 1.55 % (+ 1.55 %)
UKIP UK Independence Party 333 1.24 % (+ 1.24 %)
Soc Lab logo Socialist Labour Party 272 1.01 % - 0.79 %
Countryside Party The Countryside Party 231 0.86 % (+ 0.86 %)

Robbie the Pict 219 0.81 % + 0.41 %
SPA Scottish Peoples Alliance 155 0.58 % (+ 0.58 %)
Ind Arthur Robertson 96 0.36 % + 0.03 %

The Rural Party 15 0.06 % (+ 0.06 %)
SNP logo Scottish National Party majority 2,601 9.65 % + 6.16 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Constituency result

LogoPartyCandidateVotes%% change
SNP logo Scottish National Party Margaret Ewing MP 13,027 38.80 % - 2.77 %
Labour logo Labour Cllr Ali Farquharson 8,898 26.50 % + 6.67 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Andrew Findlay 8,595 25.60 % - 1.97 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Patsy Kenton 3,056 9.10 % + 0.18 %
Scottish National Party win Scottish National Party majority 4,129 12.30 % - 1.70 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

LogoPartyVotes%
SNP logo Scottish National Party 10,101 30.16 %
Labour logo Labour 8,932 26.67 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Party 7,467 22.29 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrats 3,915 11.69 %
Scot Green logo Scottish Green Party 1,208 3.61 %
Soc Lab logo Socialist Labour Party 604 1.80 %
Ind Sir Iain Noble 473 1.41 %
Highlands Islands Highlands & Islands Alliance 159 0.47 %
Scot Soc logo Scottish Socialist Party 148 0.44 %
Ind Scottish People's Mission 139 0.41 %
Ind International Independent 128 0.38 %
Nat Law logo Natural Law Party 113 0.34 %
Ind Arthur Robertson 109 0.33 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party majority 1,169 3.49 %

1 st May 1997 Westminster Election

LogoPartyCandidateVotes%
SNP logo Scottish National Party Margaret Ewing MP 16,529 41.57 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Andrew Findlay 10,963 27.57 %
Labour logo Labour Lewis MacDonald 7,886 19.83 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Debra Storr 3,548 8.92 %
Referendum logo Referendum Paddy Mieklejohn 840 2.11 %
Scottish National Party hold Scottish National Party majority 5,566 14.00 %

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