Candidates and Constituency Assessments


saltire shield'There is incredulity at this idea that people could vote Conservative and end up with Jack McConnell. This will be especially damaging in marginal constituencies and in seats we already hold. Whoever thought this crazy policy up should be seeking alternative employment.'
Former chairman of the Tory candidates association, Alastair Orr, 10 th June 2006.
Lion Rampant

Ayr (South of Scotland Region)

Candidates

John Duncan John Duncan
(Not standing on South of Scotland list)
labour logo
Labour
John Duncan is the invisible man in this contest. He has a website but it gives no information about him.

Recent electoral experience
Stuart Richie Stuart Ritchie
(Not standing on South of Scotland list)
liberal logo
Liberal Democrat
The Liberal Democrat candidate is Stuart Ritchie, previously a student at the Ayr Campus of Paisley university who listed his interests as football and church. He has an HND in Communications from Telford College and was a Local Election Agent in 1995 and NUS Student Representative in 1998. He contested the Ayr by-election in 2000, coming fifth with 2.5 %.

Recent electoral experience
2004 South Ayrshire Council by-election, Dundonald & Loans, 100 votes (5.21 %)
2003 Scottish Parliament election, Ayr, 1,768 votes (5.60 %)
2003 Scottish Parliament election, Eighth on Lib Dem South of Scotland list, 27,026 votes (10.26 %)
2001 Westminster Parliament election, Ayr, 2,089 votes (5.42 %)
2000 Scottish Parliament by-election, Ayr, 800 votes (2.51 %)
1999 Scottish Parliament election, Cunninghame South, 1,717 votes (6.07 %)
1999 Scottish Parliament election, Ninth on Lib Dem South of Scotland list, 38,157 votes (11.99 %)
John Scott MSP John Scott MSP
(Also number 1 on South of Scotland list)
Con logo
Conservative & Unionist
John Scott was born on the 7 th June 1951 in Girvan and was educated at George Watson's College, Edinburgh and Edinburgh University where he graduated with a BSc in Civil engineering. Since 1973 he has worked as a farmer trading as W. Scott & Son. In 2001 he was a founder of Ayrshire Farmer's Market. Before his election to the Scottish Parliament, he was also a partner in his wife's catering business. He is also the Deputy Convener of the Public Petitions Committee. He is a widower with one son and one daughter. He is an elder in the Church of Scotland and a member of the National Farmers' Union of Scotland. From 2001 to 2005 he was the Chairman of the Scottish Association of Farmers' Markets. He was elected in 2000 when he won the seat of Ayr from Labour in a by-election and held the seat at the 2003 election. Currently, John Scott is an Appointed Member of the Scottish Parliamentary Corporate Body (SPCB), the body that makes decisions on a wide range of issues to do with the running of the Scottish Parliament.

Party positions
2000 - 2001 - Tory Spokesman on Transport & the Environment
2001 - 2003 - Tory Spokesman on the Environment

Parliamentary positions
May 2003 - Member of the Scottish Parliamentary Corporate Body (SPCB)

Recent electoral experience.
2003 Scottish Parliament election, Ayr, 12,865 votes (40.72 %) (elected)
2003 Scottish Parliament election, Seventh on Tory South of Scotland list, 63,827 votes (24.24 %)
2000 Scottish Parliament by-election, Ayr, 12,580 votes (39.44 %) (elected)
1999 Scottish Parliament election, Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley, 8,123 votes (19.77 %)
1999 Scottish Parliament election, Seventh on Tory South of Scotland list, 68,904 votes (21.64 %)
Dr Iain White Dr Iain White
(Also number 9 on South of Scotland list)
SNP logo
Scottish National Party
Dr Iain White graduated in Science from Glasgow University, but for the past 25 years has run a small business, both here and in the south of England. Iain White was Chairman of the British Computer Society in Scotland for 5 years, resigning in March of this year to devote more time to politics. He is chairman of the Federation of Engineering Societies in Glasgow and the West of Scotland.Ê He is a family man with three adult children - and a dog!
Upon his selection Dr White said: Recent figures show that every Scot is subsidising the rest of the UK by more than £800 per year. In other words, even before we improve our infrastructure and enterprise culture, every man, woman and child would be better off by at least £800 every year in an independent Scotland. The current reserves of North Sea Oil are worth £160,000 to each of us in Scotland today. This must be used, not just to improve the Education, Health Services and Social Services but to provide the quantum leap in these services earned by a wealthy nation. The SNP is committed to retaining the Accident and Emergency Unit at Ayr Hospital and will reverse and decision to close made by the Labour / Liberal coalition. The SNP will abolish business rates below £8,000 and reduce others to help to revitalise ailing town centres. This measure alone will benefit over 3,000 small businesses across South Ayrshire and regenerate Ayr town centre

Recent electoral experience

Constituency profile

Assessment:

This assessment is based on the 2003 election results

Rank on Labour hit list: 8 (10 in 2003)
Swing required for Labour gain: 2.99 % from Conservative to Labour

Rank on Scottish National Party hit list: 43 (44 in 2003)
Swing required for Scottish National Party gain: 13.50 % from Labour to Scottish National Party

Rank on Liberal Democrat hit list: 36 (22 in 2003)
Swing required for Liberal Democrat gain: 17.56 % from Labour to Liberal Democrat

Correlation to the new Westminster constituencies

The electorate of 56,199 was split between the new Westminster constituencies of:
Ayrshire Central 33,544 (59.7 %)
Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock 22,655 (40.3 %)

Local Government wards in the constituency

Council Ward number Ward name Electorate (June 2001)
South Ayrshire 1Troon North3,036
2Troon West3,134
3Troon East3,002
4Troon South3,040
5Prestwick St Ninian's2,837
6Prestwick St Cuthbert's and Monkton3,088
7Prestwick St Nicholas'3,131
8Prestwick Kingcase2,963
9Prestwick Toll3,036
10Ayr Newton3,116
11Ayr Lochside2,853
12Ayr Whitletts2,785
13Ayr Craigie2,856
14Ayr Central3,004
15Ayr Fort2,794
16Ayr Old Belmont2,891
17Ayr Forehill12,835
20Ayr Doonfoot and Seafield13,091
21Ayr Rozelle13,080
22Dundonald and Loans2,980
23Tarbolton Symington Craigie3,052

1 Split between Ayr and Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley

Previous results

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Constituency result

Electorate 55,523. Turnout 31,591, 56.90 % (- 9.58 %)
Logo Party Candidate Votes % % change
Con logo Conservative & Unionist John Scott MSP 12,865 40.72 % + 2.71 %
Labour logo Labour Cllr Rita Miller 10,975 34.74 % - 3.34 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party James Dornan 4,334 13.72 % - 5.75 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Stuart Ritchie 1,769 5.60 % + 1.16 %
SSP logo Scottish Socialist Party James Stewart 1,648 5.22 % (+ 5.22 %)
Con Conservative hold (notional Conservative gain from Labour) Conservative majority 1,890 5.98 %

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

Electorate 55,523. Turnout 31,602, 56.92 %
136 rejected ballot papers
LogoParty Votes % % change
Con logo Conservative & Unionist 11,221 35.51 % + 4.59 %
Labour logo Labour 9,745 30.84 % - 1.30 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party 4,366 13.82 % - 8.81 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrats 1,684 5.33 % - 0.84 %
Scot Soc logo Scottish Socialist Party 1,808 5.72 % - 0.45 %
Scot Green logo Scottish Green Party 1,462 4.63 % + 2.41 %
Pensioners Pensioners's Party 813 2.57 % (+ 2.57 %)
Soc Lab logo Socialist Labour Party 240 0.76 % - 3.27 %
UKIP UK Independence Party 166 0.53 % (+ 0.53 %)
SPA Scottish Peoples Alliance 65 0.21 % (+ 0.21 %)

Am Partaidh Dhuthchail The Rural Party 32 0.10 % (+ 0.10 %)
Con logo Conservative & Unionist majority 1,476 4.67 %

16 th March 2000 Holyrood by-election

% change
Logo Party Candidate Votes %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist John Scott 12,580 39.44 % + 1.43 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party Jim Mather 9,236 28.95 % + 9.48 %
Labour logo Labour Cllr Rita Miller 7,054 22.11 % - 15.98 %
SSP logo Scottish Socialist Party James Stewart 1,345 4.22 % (+ 4.22 %)
Liberal logoLiberal Democrat Stuart Ritchie 800 2.51 % - 1.93 %
Scot Green Scottish Green Party Gavin Corbett 460 1.44 % (+ 1.44 %)
Ind The Radio Vet William Clifton Botcherby 186 0.58 % (+0.58 %)
UKIP UK Independence Alistair McConnachie 113 0.35 % (+0.35 %)
Prolife Pro Life Alliance Robert Graham 111 0.35 % (+0.35 %)
Ind Independent, Anti Cloning Kevin James Dillon 15 0.05 % (+ 0.05 %)
Conservative gain from Labour Conservative & Unionist majority 3,344 10.48 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Constituency result

Logo Party Candidate Votes % % change
Labour logo Labour Ian Welsh 14,263 38.08 % - 10.36 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Phil Gallie 14,238 38.01 % + 4.19 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party Roger Mullin 7,291 19.47 % + 6.90 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Elaine Morris 1,662 4.44 % - 0.29 %
Labour win Labour majority 25 0.07 % - 14.55 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

Logo Party Votes %
Labour logo Labour 12,039 32.14 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist 11,582 30.92 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party 8,477 22.63 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrats 2,312 6.17 %
Soc Lab logo Socialist Labour Party 1,510 4.03 %
Scot Green logo Scottish Green Party 832 2.22 %
Scot Soc logo Scottish Socialist Party 347 0.93 %
Liberal Liberal Party 150 0.40 %
UK Ind UK Independence Party 119 0.32 %
Nat Law logo Natural Law Party 87 0.23 %
Lab logo Labour majority 457 1.22 %

1 st May 1997 Westminster Election

Logo Party Candidate Votes %
Labour logo Labour Sandra Osborne 21,679 48.44 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Phil Gallie MP 15,136 33.82%
SNP logo Scottish National Party Ian Blackford 5,625 12.57 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Clare Hamblen 2,116 4.73 %
Referendum logo Referendum John Enos 200 0.45%
Con Labour gain from Conservative (Notional Labour hold) Labour majority 6,543 14.62 %

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